Swing state voters still favor Trump over Biden after guilty verdict: poll 

Former President Donald Trump maintained his lead over President Biden among nearly 2,000 swing state voters after the guilty verdict in his Manhattan hush money trial, according to a new poll.

Trump, 77, held a 1 point edge over Biden, 81, when 1,897 participants in a previous New York Times/Siena College survey of voters in six battleground states were recontacted between June 3-4.

However, the presumptive Republican nominee for president suffered a modest drop in support, with his 48%-45% lead over the incumbent from April and May polling falling to a slim 47%-46% advantage. 

Donald Trump
Trump is still narrowly favored over Biden by swing state voters, the post-verdict survey found. AP

Trump retained 93% of the voters who backed him in the earlier survey, with 3% indicating they now support Biden and 4% shifting to undecided. 

Young, nonwhite and disengaged Democratic-leaning voters were the most likely to abandon Trump in the wake of his guilty verdict, the survey found. 

Trump also lost 20% of voters who responded that they disliked both of the 2024 presidential candidates. 

Meanwhile, Biden retained 96% of his supporters when recontacted by the pollster. 

More than 1.5% of former Biden supporters indicated that they would vote for Trump despite his conviction on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records. 

Joe Biden
Biden gained 2 points on Trump after the guilty verdict against the former president, according to a new poll. REUTERS

Only 3% of Biden supporters said after the verdict that they moved from ”unlikely to vote” to “almost certain” to do so, compared to 18% for Trump backers. 

The  New York Times/Siena College survey findings come one day after a post-verdict poll of Michigan voters also saw Trump maintaining his lead over Biden. 

 The Mitchell-Michigan News Source Poll found the former president ahead of the incumbent by 0.6 points in a head-to-head matchup and by 1.2 points in a five-way race with third-party candidates. 

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