Trump 10 points up on Biden, new national poll shows 

Former President Donald Trump leads President Biden by 10 points nationally in the 2024 White House race, according to a new poll. 

The Rasmussen Reports survey, released Friday, found 46% of likely voters backing the 78-year-old presumptive Republican nominee for president and 36% supporting the 81-year-old incumbent in a five-way race. 

Among the third-party White House hopefuls, independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West received 9% and 2% support, respectively, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein garnered 1% support. 

Trump is also up on Biden in the head-to-head matchup, netting 49% support to the president’s 40% backing. Seven percent of voters said they’d vote for some other candidate and 4% responded that they were undecided,  the poll found. 


Donald Trump
The poll shows Trump beating Biden both head-to-head and with third-party candidates in the race. Jovanny Hernandez / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Rasmussen Reports survey is a clear outlier among 2024 presidential race polls. 

A FiveThirtyEight average of recent polls puts the race much closer, pegging Biden at 40.7%, and Trump at 40.4%.

A RealClearPolitics average of surveys has Trump (46.1%) leading Biden (45.2%) head to head by less than 1 point. The former president’s lead expands to 1.9 points (42.1% to 40.2%) in the pollster’s five-way race average. 


Joe Biden
Biden disapproval rating was measured at 54%, according to the poll. SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

The former president touted his big lead in the Rasmussen Reports survey in a Truth Social post Friday. 

“Trump crushes Biden big with 10-point lead,” read a graphic shared by Trump, which he pinned to the top of his timeline. 

The poll also found that a majority of voters (54%) disapprove of Biden’s job in the White House, with 59% indicating that the government is doing too little to combat illegal border crossings and visitor overstays.

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